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The global energy structure transformation process continues to accelerate, the renewable energy industry accelerates development

Date:2020-12-31 Sources: People"s Daily Author: Zheng Bin, Li Xiaoxiao Clicknum:434

According to the report, affected by the epidemic and other factors, global energy demand is expected to drop by 5% this year, of which oil demand will drop by 8%, and coal use will drop by 7%. However, the renewable energy industry continues to grow and is expected to replace coal in 2025. Main power generation method. By 2030, renewable energy will provide nearly 40% of the world''s electricity supply.


 


Core reading: The process of global energy structure transformation is accelerating. As international efforts to address climate change and low-carbon energy become a consensus, more and more countries are actively introducing policies and measures to promote the development of the renewable energy industry, and the development prospects for the green energy industry are promising.


The International Energy Agency’s recently released 'World Energy Outlook 2020' report shows that in the context of the overall decline in global energy demand, the development and utilization of renewable energy has shown greater flexibility. It is expected that from 2020 to 2030, the demand for renewable energy will increase. An increase of 2/3, accounting for about 80% of the increase in global electricity demand.

The International Energy Agency urges more countries to actively formulate effective energy policies, accelerate the transformation of the energy structure, and boost the sustainable growth of the renewable energy industry.


The renewable energy industry grows against the trend

In the 'World Energy Outlook 2020' report, the International Energy Agency predicted that global energy demand will not fully return to pre-epidemic levels until at least 2023. According to the report, affected by the epidemic and other factors, global energy demand is expected to drop by 5% this year, of which oil demand will drop by 8%, and coal usage will drop by 7%. However, the renewable energy industry continues to grow and is expected to replace coal in 2025. Main power generation method. By 2030, renewable energy will provide nearly 40% of the world''s electricity supply.


The 'World Energy Statistics Review' released by BP shows that while global coal consumption continues to decline, global renewable energy is growing at a record rate, accounting for more than 40% of the primary energy growth in 2019.

The latest report published by Eurostat in November shows that the total renewable energy production within the EU in 2018 increased by 2.8% year-on-year. Compared with 10 years ago, the proportion of fossil energy in 2018 has continued to decline, while renewable energy has shown an upward trend, with a growth rate of 49.2%.

At present, 25% of energy in Latin America comes from renewable energy sources. In recent years, wind power and photovoltaic power generation have increased significantly. According to data from the Brazilian Solar Energy Association, the installed capacity of solar power generation in Brazil has increased by more than 5 times since 2018. The latest data from the Brazilian Wind Energy Association show that the country''s installed capacity of wind power has increased by more than 15 times since 2010.According to data from the International Renewable Energy Agency, wind power is currently the most popular renewable energy power generation model in Latin America, with a cumulative investment of 8.9 billion U.S. dollars last year, a year-on-year increase of 87%. Solar power followed closely behind, with a cumulative investment of 8.1 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 31%.


The development of the photovoltaic industry in Africa is also accelerating. According to the market research report of Bloomberg New Energy Finance and Green Cape, the South African solar leasing platform Sun Exchange predicts that in the five-year period from 2019 to 2024, the market potential of sub-Saharan Africa in the industrial and commercial photovoltaic field may exceed US$7 billion .


Many countries increase the development of new energy

At present, more and more countries attach importance to the development and utilization of new energy, and correspondingly introduce more industrial support policies and green recovery plans to accelerate the transformation of energy structure to low carbon.


South Korea recently announced a long-term renewable energy plan to increase the development of renewable energy power. According to the plan, all coal-fired power plants in South Korea will be decommissioned by 2034, and the proportion of renewable energy in South Korea''s energy structure will increase from the current 15.1% to 40%.

The '2030 National Energy Plan' announced by the French government stated that it will continue to increase the proportion of renewable energy power generation in its power supply field, especially the proportion of wind power, in order to achieve energy transition. By 2030, the proportion of renewable energy generation in France''s electricity supply will reach 40%, of which wind power is expected to account for 20%. Germany plans to increase the proportion of renewable energy from the current 18% to 30%.

In July of this year, the European Commission launched an integrated development strategy for the EU energy system. At the same time, it promotes the establishment of industry alliances in many key areas such as clean hydrogen energy and batteries, and promotes the development of related fields and stimulates investment through inter-industry collaboration. In the long-term budget of the “Next Generation European Union” recovery plan, the EU requires member states to use at least 37% of public investment in areas related to climate change in the process of promoting economic recovery, and to further relax member states’ finances for investment in renewable energy projects. limitation factor.


The Chilean government officially launched a green hydrogen strategy in November this year to promote the transformation of the energy structure. In December last year, the Chilean government announced that it will speed up the adjustment of its energy structure. It plans to reduce the share of coal-fired power generation to 20% by 2024, and gradually increase the proportion of hydropower, wind, solar and biomass power generation, and it will be renewable by 2030. The proportion of energy in the country''s total energy will increase to 70%, and all coal power plants will be shut down completely by 2040.


The Brazilian government has continuously introduced policies and measures to provide funding and policy support for solar energy and other industry-related infrastructure and projects. By 2035, the total investment in Brazil’s power industry will exceed US$30 billion, of which 70% will be used for solar photovoltaic, wind power, and production. Renewable energy technologies such as material energy and ocean energy.


Prospects for future industry development

Dr. Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency, said that if governments and investors can increase efforts to develop and utilize clean energy in accordance with the sustainable development concept set by the International Energy Agency, this will respond to global climate change issues. It is a great encouragement. The International Energy Agency calls on the government, energy companies, investors and the public to actively participate in the energy structure optimization and transformation.


Nicholas Stern, the former chief economist of the World Bank, said that from a global perspective, the uncertainty of the supply of fossil energy such as oil and natural gas is increasing. In contrast, the prospects for the development of the renewable energy industry are promising. According to Stern’s analysis, as the issue of climate change has received increasing attention, more and more countries are making efforts to reduce the pollution caused by fossil fuels such as petroleum. At the same time, the development of renewable energy on a global scale requires Costs are constantly falling, which provides an opportunity for the growth of the industry. In the medium and long term, investment in the development of renewable energy industries will receive more and more attention and has been included in the development strategies of many countries.


Ben Mike Williams, an energy expert at the Brugge Institute for Economic Research in Belgium, believes that while the government is increasing public investment, it is also very important to effectively attract investment in the private sector. On the one hand, governments of various countries can adjust market expectations through policy guidance to enable investors to foresee the prospects of investing in a low-carbon economy; on the other hand, they should further accelerate the integration of internal energy markets, strengthen international policy coordination, and ensure that energy prices remain at a constant level. A stable and reasonable range to attract investors'' attention to the green energy industry.

 

'In order to achieve sustainable development and the climate goals of the Paris Agreement, member states should strive to increase the proportion of renewable energy sources, ensure access to universally reliable electricity, and actively build an inclusive, resilient, and low-carbon energy system.' The Executive Secretary of the Commission, Ali Shahbana, said at the 2020 Global Energy Internet (Asia) Conference. This conference proposed that it is necessary to accelerate the development of clean energy bases with good resource conditions and excellent economic benefits, and to send electricity to the energy-using centers in the continent, so as to create a 'West-to-East power transmission, North-to-South power supply, multi-energy complementarity, and regional interconnection' Energy development pattern. On this basis, we will build a power interconnection channel between Asia and Europe, Africa, and Oceania to achieve mutual energy across continents. (People''s Daily Online/People''s Daily/Li Xiaoxiao, Zheng Bin, Liu Junguo, Shen Xiaoxiao, this newspaper Rio de Janeiro, Brussels, Tokyo, Beijing, November 22)

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